{"id":5094,"date":"2026-04-29T10:49:23","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T10:49:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nerio.rstheme.com\/newspaper\/?p=5094"},"modified":"2026-04-30T06:10:56","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T06:10:56","slug":"exit-polls-signal-change-in-bengal-keralam-indicate-comeback-in-assam-tamil-nadu-and-puducherry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lucknowbeats.com\/thelucknowjournal\/exit-polls-signal-change-in-bengal-keralam-indicate-comeback-in-assam-tamil-nadu-and-puducherry\/","title":{"rendered":"Exit polls signal change in Bengal, Keralam; indicate comeback in Assam, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry"},"content":{"rendered":"
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New Delhi, April 29: According to post-poll surveys, or exit polls, the BJP appears close to forming the government in West Bengal this time. In Keralam, the Congress-led UDF alliance may return to power after 10 years, while in Tamil Nadu, the ruling DMK remains a likely candidate. In Assam, the BJP appears clearly poised to return to power.<\/p>\n

With the completion of the second phase of voting in West Bengal, the voting process for the ongoing assembly elections in five states is almost complete. Following the final phase of voting, exit polls from various survey agencies and channels have begun to come in. Based on the data received at the time of writing, a change in the party\u2019s position appears highly likely in West Bengal and Kerala. The ruling coalition may return in the remaining three states.<\/p>\n

West Bengal: Trinamool 130\u2013149 seats, BJP 134\u2013155 seats, Others 2\u20136 seats<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Surveys indicate that West Bengal is witnessing the highest voter turnout ever, going against the ruling party. The state recently underwent the SIR process, which also led to a standoff between the Trinamool and the Election Commission. The Trinamool is in power here, and the BJP is in opposition. The BJP was limited to 77 seats last time. The state has 294 assembly seats, and a majority requires 148 seats.<\/p>\n

In West Bengal, Matriz predicts Trinamool 125\u2013140, BJP 146\u2013161, and Others 6\u201310. P-Mark predicts Trinamool 118\u2013138, BJP 150\u2013175, and Others 2\u20136. People\u2019s Pulse predicts Trinamool 177\u2013187, BJP 95\u2013110, Left 0\u20131, Congress 1\u20133, and Others 1\u20132. Poll Diary gives Trinamool 99\u2013127, BJP 142\u2013171, Left 2\u20133, Congress 3\u20135, Others 0\u20131. JVC gives Trinamool 131\u2013152, BJP 138\u2013159, Congress 0\u20132.<\/p>\n

Kerala: Average: LDF 55\u201364 seats, UDF 73\u201382 seats, NDA 2\u20135 seats, and Others 0\u20132.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

In Kerala, the Congress-led UDF is seen making a comeback after 10 years, while the only Left-led government (LDF) is seen losing power. 71 seats are required to win in the 140-seat assembly.<\/p>\n

In Kerala, according to Axis My India, the LDF may get 49\u201362, the UDF 78\u201390, and the NDA 0\u20133. Matriz gives the LDF 60\u201365, the UDF 70\u201375, the NDA 3\u20135, and Others 2\u20134 seats. People\u2019s Pulse predicts LDF 55\u201365, UDF 75\u201385, NDA 0\u20133 seats. P-Mark predicts LDF 60\u201365, UDF 70\u201375, NDA 3\u20135 seats. JVC predicts LDF 52\u201361, UDF 72\u201384, NDA 3\u20137, others 0.<\/p>\n

Tamil Nadu: DMK 108\u2013125 seats, AIADMK 73\u201389, TVK 30\u201339 seats, others 1\u20134 seats<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

The ruling DMK appears to be making a comeback in Tamil Nadu. The main contest here is between the regional parties DMK and AIADMK. This time, actor Vijay\u2019s party TVK is also projected to win some seats. Congress is contesting the elections under the leadership of DMK and BJP AIADMK. To win 118 seats out of the 234 seats in the state, 118 seats are required.<\/p>\n

Axis My India has predicted DMK 92\u2013110, AIADMK 22\u201332, TVK 98\u2013120 in Tamil Nadu. Matriz has predicted DMK 122\u2013132, AIADMK 87\u2013100, TVK 10\u201312, and others 0\u20136. P-Mark has given DMK 125\u2013145, AIADMK 65\u201385, TVK 16\u201326, and others 1\u20136. People\u2019s Pulse has given DMK 125\u2013145 seats, AIADMK 65\u201380, TVK 18\u201324, and others 2\u20136 seats. JVC has predicted DMK 75\u201395, AIADMK 128\u2013147, and TVK 8\u201315.<\/p>\n

Assam: BJP 83\u201394 seats, Congress 23\u201332 seats, AIUDF 2\u20135 seats, and others 1\u20134 seats.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

The Bharatiya Janata Party and the NDA alliance led by it are once again seen returning with a clear majority in Assam, the largest state in the Northeast. No survey has predicted a change of power. The majority mark is 64 out of the 126 seats in the state.<\/p>\n

Axis My India has given BJP 88\u2013100 seats, Congress 24\u201336, and others 0\u20133 seats in Assam. Matriz has given BJP 85\u201395 seats, Congress 25\u201332, and others 6\u201312. According to People\u2019s Pulse, BJP may win 68\u201372 seats, Congress 22\u201326, AIUDF 3\u20135 seats. P-Mark has given BJP 82\u201394 seats, Congress 30\u201340, and others 1\u20135 seats. Poll Diary has predicted BJP 86\u2013101 seats, Congress 15\u201326, AIUDF 2\u20135, and others 0\u20132. JVC has predicted BJP 88\u2013101 seats, Congress 23\u201333, and AIUDF 2\u20135 seats.<\/p>\n

Puducherry: AINRC-BJP 16\u201319 seats, DMK-Congress 6\u20138 seats, TVK 1\u20133 seats, and others 2\u20137.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

The Union Territory of Puducherry currently has a government led by the regional party NR Congress. The BJP is its ally. The opposition is the DMK and its ally, Congress. The NDA is expected to return to power in the state. A majority in the 30-seat assembly requires 16 seats.<\/p>\n

People\u2019s Pulse gives the AINRC-BJP 15\u201318 seats, and the DMK-Congress 6\u20138 seats. Axis My India estimates the AINRC-BJP could win 16\u201320 seats, the DMK-Congress 6\u20138, the TVK 2\u20134, and others 1\u20133.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n